Nate is currently a tropical storm, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (40 kts), moving north-northwest at 14 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the storm center. Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Watch, Tropical Storm Warning, and Tropical Storm Watch.
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Morgan City, Louisiana, eastward to the Alabama/Florida border, including the northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain.
A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Morgan City, Louisiana, eastward to the Mississippi/Alabama border, including metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the Mississippi/Alabama border eastward to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line in Florida. A Tropical Storm Watch has also been issued west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City, Louisiana.
(Based upon Tropical Storm NATE Advisory #8A)
Wind Probabilities Gulfport, MS, the closest reporting location, has within the 5-day forecast period of this advisory, a 9% chance of hurricane-force (64kt/74mph or greater) winds, a 31% chance of at least strong tropical storm-force (50kt/58mph) winds, and a 73% chance of at least tropical storm-force (34kt/39mph) winds.
Winds in Harrison, MS are projected to peak at 66kt/76mph around 6 AM on Sunday, October 08, 2017
Wind Arrival and Duration* Tropical storm-force winds (34kt/39mph) are forecast to begin in Harrison, MS on Sunday, October 08, 2017 at 1 AM. Winds of this magnitude or higher are forecast to continue for 9 hours. Strong tropical storm-force winds (50kt/58mph) are forecast to begin in Harrison, MS on Sunday, October 08, 2017 at 5 AM. Winds of this magnitude or higher are forecast to continue for 4 hours. Hurricane-force winds (64kt/74mph) are forecast to begin in Harrison, MS on Sunday, October 08, 2017 at 6 AM. Winds of this magnitude or higher are forecast to continue for 2 hours.
* These wind estimations are limited to the first 72 hours (3 days) following advisory issuance, and are subject to considerable forecast uncertainty and generalization, especially if the storm is distant. Maximum sustained winds (the highest surface wind maintained over a 1 minute period) are reported here. Wind gusts and winds at higher elevations will be greater.